Thursday, December 10, 2009

Oscar Prediction Charts (Updated: 12/10/09)

Best Picture:

1. "Up in the Air" (My ReviewTrailerRotten Tomatoes)
2. "The Hurt Locker" (My ReviewTrailerRotten Tomatoes)
3. "Precious" (My ReviewTrailerRotten Tomatoes)
4. "Invictus" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
5. "Avatar" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
6. "Nine" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
7. "An Education" (My ReviewTrailerRotten Tomatoes)
9. "Inglourious Basterds" (My ReviewTrailerRotten Tomatoes)
10. "A Serious Man" (My ReviewTrailerRotten Tomatoes)
11. "Bright Star" (My ReviewTrailerRotten Tomatoes)
12. "A Single Man" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
13. "Star Trek" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
14. "Crazy Heart" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
15. "The Road" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
16. "The Lovely Bones" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
17. "500 Days of Summer" (My ReviewTrailerRotten Tomatoes)
18. "Julie & Julia" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
19. "The Last Station" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
20. "District 9" (My ReviewTrailerRotten Tomatoes)
21. "Broken Embraces" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)
22. "Where the Wild Things Are" (TrailerRotten Tomatoes)

Best Actor:

1. Jeff Bridges, "Crazy Heart"
2. George Clooney, "Up in the Air"
3. Colin Firth, "A Single Man"
4. Morgan Freeman, "Invictus"
5. Daniel Day-Lewis, "Nine"
6. Jeremy Renner, "The Hurt Locker"
7. Viggo Mortensen, "The Road"
8. Michael Stuhlbarg, "A Serious Man"
9. Ben Foster, "The Messenger"
10. Ben Whishaw, "Bright Star"
11. Matt Damon, "The Informant!"
12. Robert De Niro, "Everybody's Fine"
13. Edward Norton, "Leaves of Grass"
14. Sam Rockwell, "Moon"
15. Clive Owen, "The Boys Are Back"
16. Hal Holbrook, "That Evening Sun"
17. Tobey Maguire, "Brothers"
18. Robert Downey Jr., "Sherlock Holmes"

Best Actress:

1. Carey Mulligan, "An Education"
2. Gabourey Sidibe, "Precious"
3. Meryl Streep, "Julie & Julia"
4. Abbie Cornish, "Bright Star"
5. Marion Cotillard, "Nine"
6. Sandra Bullock, "The Blind Side"
7. Helen Mirren, "The Last Station"
8. Saorise Ronan, "The Lovely Bones"
9. Penélope Cruz, "Broken Embraces"
10. Audrey Tautou, "Coco Before Chanel"
11. Maggie Gyllenhaal, "Crazy Heart"
12. Emily Blunt, "The Young Victoria"
13. Michelle Pfieffer, "Cheri"
14. Michelle Monaghan, "Trucker"

Best Supporting Actor:

1. Christoph Waltz, "Inglourious Basterds"
2. Stanley Tucci, "The Lovely Bones"
3. Alfred Molina, "An Education"
4. Matt Damon, "Invictus"
5. Peter Sarsgaard, "An Education"
6. Woody Harrelson, "The Messenger"
7. Christopher Plummer, "The Last Station"
8. Anthony Mackie, "The Hurt Locker"
9. Paul Schneider, "Bright Star"
10. Alec Baldwin, "It's Complicated"
11. Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brothers"
12. Robert Duvall, "The Road"
13. Christian McKay, "Me and Orson Welles"
14. Jude Law, "Sherlock Holmes"
15. Kodi Smit-McPhee, "The Road"

Best Supporting Actress:

1. Mo'Nique, "Precious"
2. Anna Kendrick, "Up in the Air"
3. Judi Dench, "Nine"
4. Julianne Moore, "A Single Man"
5. Vera Farmiga, "Up in the Air"
6. Penelope Cruz, "Nine"
7. Paula Patton, "Precious"
8. Samantha Morton, "The Messenger"
9. Natalie Portman, "Brothers"
10. Mariah Carey, "Precious"
11. Sigourney Weaver, "Avatar"
12. Susan Sarandon, "The Lovely Bones"
13. Rachel Weisz, "The Lovely Bones"

Best Director:

1. Jason Reitman, "Up in the Air"
2. Kathryn Bigelow, "The Hurt Locker"
3. James Cameron, "Avatar"
4. Lee Daniels, "Precious"
5. Clint Eastwood, "Invictus"
6. Rob Marshall, "Nine"
7. Lone Scherfig, "An Education"
8. Ethan Coen & Joel Coen, "A Serious Man"
9. Jane Campion, "Bright Star"
10. Quentin Tarantino, "Inglourious Basterds"
11. Peter Jackson, "The Lovely Bones"

Best Original Screenplay:

1. Mark Boal, "The Hurt Locker"
2. Ethan Coen & Joel Coen, "A Serious Man"
3. Bob Peterson, "Up"
4. Jane Campion, "Bright Star"
5. Quentin Tarantino, "Inglourious Basterds"
6. Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber, "500 Days of Summer"
7. James Cameron, "Avatar"
12. Alessandro Camon & Oren Moverman, "The Messenger"
8. Nancy Meyers, "It's Complicated"
10. Pedro Almodóvar, "Broken Embraces"
11. Michael Haneke & Jean-Claude Carriere, "The White Ribbon"

Best Adapted Screenplay:

1. Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner, "Up in the Air"
2. Geoffrey Fletcher, "Precious"
3. Nick Hornby, "An Education"
4. Anthony Minghella & Michael Tolkin, "Nine"
5. Anthony Peckham, "Invictus"
6. Nora Ephron, "Julie & Julia"
7. Tom Ford, "A Single Man"
8. Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson & Fran Walsh, "The Lovely Bones"
9. Joe Penhall, "The Road"
10. Scott Cooper, "Crazy Heart"
11. Neill Blomkamp & Teri Tatchell, "District 9"
12. Scott Z. Burns, "The Informant!"
13. Michael Hoffman, "The Last Station"


filmgeek said...

Just thought I'd throw in my own thoughts:

Best Picture:
I'd replace Inglourious Basterds with Bright Star

Best Actor:
Pretty solid choices I reckon

Best Actress:
I'd replace Meryl Streep with Emily Blunt (I'm really rooting for her) and Marion Cotillard with Michelle Monaghan, purely because I don't think Cotillard could be up there again so soon. Although I spose she stands a good chance at a nomination but the award would go to someone else on the night

Supporting Actor:
I may be going out on a limb here, but I'm going for Schneider, Gyllenhaal, Tucci, Damon and Sarsgaard

Supporting Actress:
Dame Judi is always a given I reckon, Mo'Nique, Sarandon, Carey and... maybe Moore, maybe Portman... I think this is possibly the weakest category but I'm (not-so)secretly rooting for the Nine girls

Best Director:
If a woman doesn't win this year I will be incredibly surprised - Bigelow, Campion, Scherfig, Eastwood, Marshall

Original Screenplay:
(500) Days, Bright Star, A Serious Man, The Hurt Locker, The Messenger

Adapted Screenplay:
I'd replace Invictus with The Lovely Bones

Danny King said...

@ filmgeek: Those are some very solid choices. You seemed very lenient towards Bright Star, and that is a film I could definitely see getting nominations in the categories you mentioned. I have moved it out of the top five in most of its categories for now because the buzz has quieted a little bit, but I wouldn't be surprised if it slowly begins to regain its momentum.

In Supporting Actor, I think Schneider is a real possibility, but I see Gyllenhaal as on the outside looking in at this point, and likely to stay that way.

And for Supporting Actress, no love for the Up in the Air ladies?

filmgeek said...

As much as I want to see Up in the Air, I'm not really all that hot on the buzz for it yet so I'll reserve judgement for a few more weeks yet.

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