Monday, February 1, 2010

Final Oscar Predictions for 2009



With the expansion from five to ten Best Picture nominees, predicting the Oscars is much tougher this year than it was last. There are many spots in the lower half of the ten that are wide open, and could end up going to any film from Star Trek to The Blind Side. There is really no way to predict where these spots will go, and the same is true of some of the acting categories. All acting categories seem to have a fifth slot that is wide open, so there could be plenty of surprises when the nominees are revealed. Morgan Freeman (Invictus) and Helen Mirren (The Last Station) don't seem like the surest of bets to me, but the problem is, I just don't know who would replace them with at this point (nominees after the cut).


Well, enough talk, let's get down to it. The nominations will be announced on Tuesday morning by Anne Hathaway and AMPAS President Tom Sherak. For more information on that, click here. You can check out any and all of my earlier prediction charts by clicking here as well.


BEST PICTURE

  1. The Hurt Locker
  2. Avatar
  3. Up in the Air
  4. Inglourious Basterds
  5. Precious
  6. An Education
  7. Up
  8. District 9
  9. A Serious Man
  10. The Messenger
  • Possible Spoilers: Star Trek, The Blind Side, Invictus, The Hangover, 500 Days of Summer, Julie & Julia, A Single Man, Crazy Heart

BEST ACTOR

  1. Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
  2. George Clooney, Up in the Air
  3. Colin Firth, A Single Man
  4. Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
  5. Morgan Freeman, Invictus
  • Possible Spoilers: Tobey Maguire (Brothers), Ben Foster (The Messenger), Viggo Mortensen (The Road), Robert Downey Jr. (Sherlock Holmes)
BEST ACTRESS
  1. Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
  2. Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
  3. Carey Mulligan, An Education
  4. Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
  5. Abbie Cornish, Bright Star
  • Possible Spoilers: Helen Mirren (The Last Station), Melanie Laurent (Inglourious Basterds), Emily Blunt (The Young Victoria), Penelope Cruz (Broken Embraces), Marion Cotillard (Nine)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
  1. Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
  2. Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
  3. Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
  4. Matt Damon, Invictus
  5. Alfred Molina, An Education
  • Possible Spoilers: Christopher Plummer (The Last Station), Peter Sarsgaard (An Education), Anthony Mackie (The Hurt Locker), Christian McKay (Me and Orson Welles), Stanley Tucci (Julie & Julia), Alec Baldwin (It's Complicated)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
  1. Mo'Nique, Precious
  2. Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
  3. Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
  4. Julianne Moore, A Single Man
  5. Diane Kruger, Inglourious Basterds
  • Possible Spoilers: Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart), Penelope Cruz (Nine), Samantha Morton (The Messenger)
BEST DIRECTOR
  1. Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
  2. James Cameron, Avatar
  3. Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
  4. Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
  5. Lee Daniels, Precious
  • Possible Spoilers: Clint Eastwood (Invictus), Neill Blomkamp (District 9), Lone Scherfig (An Education)
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
  1. Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air
  2. Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious
  3. Nick Hornby, An Education
  4. Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell, District 9
  5. Tom Ford, A Single Man
  • Possible Spoilers: Nora Ephron (Julie & Julia), Scott Cooper (Crazy Heart), Anthony Peckham (Invictus)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
  1. Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
  2. Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
  3. Pete Docter and Bob Peterson, Up
  4. Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, A Serious Man
  5. Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber, 500 Days of Summer
  • Possible Spoilers: Jon Lucas and Scott Moore (The Hangover), James Cameron (Avatar), Michael Haneke (The White Ribbon), Oren Moverman and Alessandro Camon (The Messenger), Nancy Meyers (It's Complicated)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
  1. Up
  2. Fantastic Mr. Fox
  3. Coraline
  4. The Princess and the Frog
  5. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
  • Possible Spoilers: Ponyo
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
  1. The White Ribbon (Germany)
  2. A Prophet (France)
  3. Ajami (Israel)
  4. The Secret in Their Eyes (Argentina)
  5. Winter in Wartime (Netherlands)
  • Possible Spoilers: The Maid (Chile), The Milk of Sorrow (Peru)
BEST DOCUMENTARY
  1. The Cove
  2. Food, Inc.
  3. Every Little Step
  4. Garbage Dreams
  5. Mugabe and the White African
  • Possible Spoilers: Valentino, The Beaches of Agnes, Burma VJ: Reporting from a Closed Country

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